Celtic vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
7 - 1
DUN
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 3
CEL
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
STM
0 - 2
CEL
22%
23%
56%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 3
MHE
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 2
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
STM
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |