Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-1
Celtic vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 0
GRE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
HOM
4 - 2
CEL
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 1
CEL
37%
23%
40%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 1
DUN
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
CEL
6 - 0
EAS
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 1
CEL
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 3
LEX
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 5
SLB
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
LEX
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |