Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
2º
1º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
LAZ
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 2
CEL
24%
23%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 3
CEL
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
78%
14%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
43%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 1
ROS
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |