Europa League Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-4
Celtic vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 2
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEL
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 2
CEL
24%
24%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
GLA
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 1
CEL
13%
20%
66%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 4
INT
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
INT
3 - 0
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAS
3 - 1
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |