Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
1º
1º
30
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
GLA
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
HIB
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 0
KIL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
VKP
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |