Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
RBS
2 - 2
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
CEL
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 1
CWB
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 0
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HOM
4 - 1
FAL
56%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
HOM
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 4
HOM
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |