Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 2
CEL
15%
23%
61%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
MHE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GLA
2 - 1
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
RAP
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
FAL
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
HOM
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
28%
30%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
HAM
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |