Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CEL
5 - 0
STJ
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
CEL
3 - 1
AIR
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
GLA
2 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
DUN
0 - 3
CEL
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
HOM
0 - 2
MHE
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |