Champions League Last 16
Global 3-2
Celtic vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
STI
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
4 - 1
PAR
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 1
STM
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
2 - 0
HIB
66%
17%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
0 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIN
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
HKS
4 - 0
DUN
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |