Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Celtic vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
DUN
1 - 1
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 0
KIL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
HIB
1 - 1
CEL
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 3
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1963 |
THE
1 - 5
CEL
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
LAS
1 - 1
DZG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
DZG
1 - 0
LAS
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
LAS
1 - 0
DZG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 0
DZG
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1963 |
DZG
1 - 2
VCF
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |