Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 3-3
Celtic vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 4
CEL
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 3
GLA
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZUR
0 - 4
BAS
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZIL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 2
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
ZIL
1 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |