Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 10-1
Celtic vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
CEL
2 - 2
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
STM
2 - 1
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
FAL
1 - 0
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 5
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
CEL
4 - 4
TLA
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 5
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
BYM
3 - 0
BAS
32%
21%
47%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 3
BYM
76%
13%
12%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |