Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Celtic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
3 - 3
DUM
79%
14%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
CEL
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
4 - 2
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
4 - 0
AYR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATM
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATM
34%
31%
36%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRV
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |