Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
Celtic vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
STJ
1 - 4
CEL
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
1 - 1
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
AGF
0 - 1
CEL
39%
22%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
6 - 1
STI
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
53%
20%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
AGF
0 - 1
CEL
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
AGF
2 - 3
BRE
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
AGF
27%
21%
52%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |