Celtic II vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
2º
14
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
6 - 0
TRA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 1
CFC
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 0
LIN
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CFC
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
5 - 1
THE
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THE
2 - 3
BER
41%
22%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
CBF
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
3 - 0
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 7
STI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
6 - 1
BER
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |