Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-0
Celta vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
CAD
1 - 0
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
19%
25%
57%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
XER
0 - 1
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
HER
5 - 2
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
CEL
1 - 0
CDO
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 1
XER
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
XER
3 - 1
LIN
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
XER
0 - 1
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PBL
1 - 0
XER
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
CAD
1 - 3
XER
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |