Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Celta vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
VAD
4 - 0
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
RSO
2 - 2
CEL
38%
23%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CEL
3 - 3
VCF
42%
22%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 3
CEL
79%
13%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ATM
2 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
VAD
4 - 0
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
VAD
3 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
RCF
1 - 1
VAD
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
RAC
1 - 0
VAD
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |