Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-2
Celta vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VCF
1 - 0
CEL
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 1
RAC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
RSO
1 - 2
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CEL
0 - 0
EUR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SAB
2 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VCF
1 - 0
CEL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
29%
27%
45%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
VCF
2 - 0
BET
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |