Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-9
Celta vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
CEL
6 - 0
JFC
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
JFC
2 - 1
CEL
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
BET
1 - 3
VCF
30%
23%
47%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VCF
5 - 0
BET
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
VCF
6 - 1
ALC
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCF
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |