Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Celta vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
PUL
3 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 1
SDI
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CEL
0 - 0
SAB
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
CEL
4 - 0
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SEV
0 - 0
MLL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ESP
0 - 1
SEV
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SEV
0 - 0
OSA
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |