Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Celta vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CEL
1 - 1
ELC
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
SDE
1 - 2
CEL
34%
30%
37%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
CAD
1 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CEL
4 - 2
OSA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RMC
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
SDE
1 - 0
EJE
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
SDE
1 - 2
CEL
34%
30%
37%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SDE
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
SDE
2 - 1
MUT
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CDT
0 - 4
SDE
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |