Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEL
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
CEL
3 - 3
FCB
34%
23%
44%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
80%
11%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAL
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
OVI
4 - 0
CEL
43%
23%
35%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
ZAR
3 - 3
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SPO
2 - 3
ZAR
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
RAC
3 - 1
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ZAR
1 - 5
FCB
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ATM
4 - 1
ZAR
88%
8%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |