Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
HER
0 - 5
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 4
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 2
RMA
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
3 - 0
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |