Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
1 - 2
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
4 - 1
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
2 - 3
ATM
50%
20%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 1
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
ZAR
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
HUE
2 - 4
ZAR
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
ZAR
15 - 1
HUE
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
ZAR
7 - 0
PEÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |