Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Celta vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
RSO
4 - 1
CEL
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CUL
2 - 0
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 1
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
CEL
2 - 1
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
RSO
4 - 1
CEL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
RSO
3 - 1
SEV
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
RSO
2 - 1
ESP
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ELC
1 - 0
RSO
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |