Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Celta vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CEL
5 - 0
SPO
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
CEL
4 - 3
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
LEO
1 - 5
CEL
33%
24%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
CEL
9 - 0
LEO
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
ARE
1 - 4
RSO
37%
24%
40%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
RSO
4 - 1
RSG
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RSO
5 - 3
ARE
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
RSG
0 - 5
RSO
22%
24%
55%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1925 |
ARE
3 - 1
RSO
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |