Celta vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VCF
7 - 0
CEL
78%
13%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
CEL
0 - 2
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
OVI
0 - 1
SAB
74%
15%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 1
OVI
43%
22%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
OVI
0 - 0
RMA
49%
22%
28%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
RMA
3 - 1
OVI
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
OVI
0 - 1
RMA
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |