Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Celta vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
CEL
72%
14%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
CEL
3 - 2
RMA
42%
21%
37%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
RMA
2 - 2
CEL
80%
12%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
CEL
8 - 0
DEP
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 3
CEL
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
CEL
72%
14%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
30%
21%
49%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
87%
8%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
SPO
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 4
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |