Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
79%
12%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SEV
3 - 0
CEL
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
CEL
1 - 2
DEP
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ALC
0 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAC
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
MUR
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
25%
22%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
86%
8%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |