Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
CEL
6 - 1
ALC
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ESP
4 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 3
OVI
33%
21%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |