Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
13.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEL
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
1 - 1
CEL
56%
20%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
JFC
1 - 3
CEL
47%
21%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1936 |
CEL
7 - 0
ZAR
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
CEL
3 - 0
GIR
78%
12%
10%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
1 - 1
CEL
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
ARE
1 - 0
MUR
54%
20%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
5 - 2
JFC
66%
18%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
1 - 1
ZAR
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
GIR
1 - 1
MUR
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |