Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16%
17%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SAB
3 - 0
CEL
44%
22%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
CEL
4 - 3
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
RCF
1 - 2
CEL
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
SPO
66%
16%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
NAM
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAD
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 2
LEV
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
37%
23%
40%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIM
90%
7%
3%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |