Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CEL
2 - 3
ZAR
44%
22%
35%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
1 - 2
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
4 - 1
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
19%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
MUR
5 - 3
ESP
35%
22%
43%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
MUR
4 - 0
PAL
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
MUR
21%
21%
59%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
MUR
7 - 0
REC
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |