Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 2
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GET
1 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
BET
0 - 0
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
RSO
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
BET
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
RMA
1 - 0
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RMA
3 - 1
CAD
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 2
SEV
69%
19%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |