Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 2
ELC
62%
24%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 0
CEL
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 1
BET
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
RSO
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
5 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
3 - 0
AUS
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
6 - 0
FRA
83%
10%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |