Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1947 |
CAS
1 - 2
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ATH
3 - 2
CEL
80%
12%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
CEL
6 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
10%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
OVI
2 - 0
CEL
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
RMA
1 - 3
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
SPO
2 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
RMA
7 - 4
CAS
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ESP
4 - 2
RMA
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |