Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Celta vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
FCB
5 - 2
CEL
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZAR
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
CDG
1 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ATH
2 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
MUR
2 - 2
CEL
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
GIM
3 - 2
RAY
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
RAY
0 - 2
SLA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 2
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 0
DEP
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
SAB
1 - 0
RAY
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |