Celta vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1983 |
ESP
7 - 1
CEL
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
VAD
3 - 1
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
OSA
4 - 1
CEL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1983 |
FCB
2 - 0
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
PAL
1 - 0
RMC
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CAD
1 - 0
PAL
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
HER
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
CFC
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |