Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-0
Celta vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ATM
5 - 2
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CDO
0 - 2
CEL
19%
28%
53%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CEL
0 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
CDO
2 - 1
PON
40%
28%
32%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EUM
0 - 2
CDO
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
CDO
0 - 2
CEL
19%
28%
53%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
MAR
4 - 1
CDO
33%
28%
39%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CDO
2 - 0
DEP
80%
15%
5%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |