Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-4
Celta vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
CEL
5 - 1
LIN
68%
20%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CCF
1 - 1
CEL
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CDO
2 - 1
CEL
20%
30%
50%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LOG
3 - 3
CEL
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CEL
5 - 0
PON
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
CDO
2 - 1
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
VIV
1 - 2
CDO
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CDO
2 - 1
CEL
20%
30%
50%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
46%
27%
27%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CDO
0 - 0
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |