Celta vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
DEP
2 - 1
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CEL
3 - 0
AVI
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SDI
2 - 1
CEL
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CEL
1 - 0
TER
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 2
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
CDO
4 - 1
RCF
50%
22%
29%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
RAC
1 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
CDO
2 - 0
CUL
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ALA
1 - 2
CDO
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
CDO
1 - 0
SAB
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | +2 |