Celta vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
30%
27%
42%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 4
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 1
XER
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 3
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 3
CEL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUM
3 - 2
SLA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 0
NUM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NUM
4 - 0
UDL
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PON
0 - 4
NUM
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |