Celta vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
DEP
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
SPO
0 - 3
CEL
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
CEL
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 1
CEL
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MAL
0 - 0
RSO
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1999 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAL
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
RAY
4 - 1
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 3
ATM
30%
24%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALZ
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |