Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Celta vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CEL
1 - 2
PUE
87%
11%
3%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
VAD
1 - 0
CEL
48%
28%
23%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CEL
3 - 0
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ENS
0 - 0
CEL
26%
30%
44%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
CEL
31%
27%
41%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
SSC
60%
25%
15%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
CDO
4 - 0
LUG
71%
20%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDG
63%
25%
12%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
CEL
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |