Celta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12%
9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
4 - 1
CEL
31%
22%
47%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
DEP
1 - 2
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
CEL
4 - 1
CAT
80%
12%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
CDC
3 - 0
CEL
38%
22%
40%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
HER
2 - 0
CDC
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
2 - 0
HER
39%
22%
38%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
DEP
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |