Celta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
3 - 2
OVI
49%
20%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
46%
23%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
VCF
2 - 2
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |