Celta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 2
BET
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
53%
19%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
ESP
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |