Celta vs Fortuna Gijon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1926 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
RSO
2 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
CEL
2 - 1
RSO
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CEL
5 - 0
SPO
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
CEL
4 - 3
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Gijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RUD
1 - 1
FOG
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
FOG
1 - 2
DEP
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 74 | 59 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
FOG
2 - 0
RUD
36%
24%
39%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
DEP
9 - 0
FOG
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 74 | 61 | 0 |