Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1957 |
CON
0 - 0
CEL
33%
21%
46%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CEL
1 - 0
CON
82%
10%
8%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
RMA
4 - 1
CEL
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
ATH
0 - 0
ESP
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
RSO
1 - 0
ESP
51%
22%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |