Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
13.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 4
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 3
CEL
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ATM
3 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
CEL
6 - 3
SLA
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 2
SAB
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 0
ESP
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ESP
5 - 4
GIM
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |